Geografie 2018, 123, 37-62

https://doi.org/10.37040/geografie2018123010037

Growing gap in population dynamics, closing the gap in population size: the European Union and the United States compared

Jiřina Kocourková1, Luděk Šídlo1, Martin Novák1, Luděk Sýkora2

1Charles University, Faculty of Science, Department of Demography and Geodemography, Prague, Czechia
2Charles University, Faculty of Science, Department of Social Geography and Regional Development, Prague, Czechia

Received January 2017
Accepted July 2017

References

1. ALLEY, D.E., LLOYD, J., SHARDELL, M. (2011): Can Obesity Account for Cross-National Differences in Life Expectancy Trends? In: National Research Council (ed.): International Differences in Mortality at Older Ages: Dimensions and Sources. NRC, Washington, DC, 164–192.
2. ARIAS, E. (2011): United States life tables, 2007. In: National Vital Statistics Reports 59, 9, National Center for Health Statistics.
3. AVDEEV, A., EREMENKO, T., FESTY, P., GAYMU, J., LE BOUTEILLEC, N., SPRINGER, S. (2011): Populations and demographic trends of European countries, 1980–2010. Population-E, 66, 1, 9–130. <https://doi.org/10.3917/pope.1101.0009>
4. BARBIERI, M., OUELLETTE, N. (2012): The demography of Canada and the United States from the 1980s to the 2000s. A summary of changes and statistical assessment. Population-E, 67, 2, 177–280. <https://doi.org/10.3917/pope.1202.0177>
5. BEETS, G.A. (2011): A contemporary issue in demography. The rising age at first birth, pros and cons. AUC Geographica, 46, 1, 5–14. <https://doi.org/10.14712/23361980.2015.27>
6. CARLSON, E., HOFFMANN, R. (2011): The state socialist mortality syndrome. Population Research and Policy Review, 30, 355–379. <https://doi.org/10.1007/s11113-010-9192-z>
7. CINCOTTA, R.P., ENGELMAN, R. (1997): Economics and Rapid Change: The Influence of Population Growth. Occasional Paper 3, Population Action International, 1997, http://pai.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/Economics_and_Rapid_Change_PDF.pdf (26. 7. 2015).
8. COLEMAN, D. (2006): Immigration and ethnic change in low-fertility countries: A third demographic transition. Population and Development Review, 32, 3, 401–446. <https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1728-4457.2006.00131.x>
9. European Commission (2015a): The 2015 Ageing Report. Economic and budgetary projections for the 28 EU Member States (2013–2060). European Economy 3/2015. Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg.
10. European Commission (2015b): Demography Report. Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg.
11. Eurostat (2015): What we do – Comparing apples with apples. Eurostat, http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/about/overview/what-we-do (6. 8. 2015).
12. Eurostat (2017): Eurostat database. Population and social conditions, http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/ (21. 5. 2017).
13. FOTAKIS, C., PESCHNER, J. (2015): Demographic change, human resources constraints and economic growth – The EU challenge compared to other global players, European Commission (DG EMPL) Working Paper 1/2015, http://ec.europa.eu/social/main.jsp?catId=738&amp;amp;langId=en&amp;amp;pubId=7750&amp;amp;furtherPubs=yes (2. 9. 2015).
14. FREJKA, T. (2008): Determinants of family formation and childbearing during the societal transition in Central and Eastern Europe. In Frejka, T., Sobotka, T., Hoem J. M., Toulemon, L. (eds): Childbearing trends and policies in Europe. Demographic Research, Special Collection 7, 19, 139–170. <https://doi.org/10.4054/DemRes.2008.19.7>
15. FREJKA, T., SOBOTKA, T. (2008): Fertility in Europe: Diverse, delayed and below replacement. In: Frejka, T., Sobotka, T., Hoem, J. M. and Toulemon, L. (eds): Childbearing trends and policies in Europe. Demographic Research 7, 19, 15–46. <https://doi.org/10.4054/DemRes.2008.19.3>
16. FREJKA, T., WESTOFF, C.F. (2008): Religion, religiousness and fertility in the U.S. and in Europe. European Journal of Population, 24, 5–31. <https://doi.org/10.1007/s10680-007-9121-y>
17. GERONIMUS, A.T. et al. (1996): Excess Mortality among Blacks and Whites in the United States. New England Journal of Medicine, 335, 1552–1558. <https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJM199611213352102>
18. GLEI, D.A., MESLÉ, F., VALLIN, J. (2010): Diverging Trends in Life Expectancy at Age 50: A Look at Causes of Death. In: National Research Council (US) Panel on Understanding Divergent Trends in Longevity in High-Income Countries; Crimmins E.M., Preston S.H., Cohen B. (eds): International Differences in Mortality at Older Ages: Dimensions and Sources. Washington (DC), 17–67.
19. HARPER, S., LYNCH, J., BURRIS, S., DAVEY-SMITH, G. (2007): Trends in the black-white life expectancy gap in the United States, 1983–2003. Journal of the American Medical Association, 297, 11, 1224–1232. <https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.297.11.1224>
20. HULÍKOVÁ TESÁRKOVÁ, K., KAŠPAR, D., ZIMMERMANN, P. (2015): Convergent and divergent trends in the European mortality: What is the position of Czechia? Geografie, 120, 1, 26–49.
21. INED (2013): All about population. Database, http://www.ined.fr (20. 9. 2013).
22. KAHLERT, H., ERNST, W., eds. (2010): Reframing Demographic Change in Europe: Perspectives on Gender and Welfare State Transformations. Lit verlag, Berlin.
23. KANE, J.B. (2013): A closer look at the second demographic transition in the US: Evidence of bidirectionality from a cohort perspective (1982–2006). Population Research and Policy Review, 32, 47–80. <https://doi.org/10.1007/s11113-012-9257-2>
24. LESTHAEGHE, R. (2010): The Unfolding Story of the Second Demographic Transition. Population and Development Review, 36, 2, 211–251. <https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1728-4457.2010.00328.x>
25. LESTHAEGHE, R., NEIDERT, L. (2006): The second demographic transition in the United States: Exception or textbook example? Population and Development Review, 32, 4, 669–698. <https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1728-4457.2006.00146.x>
26. MESLÉ, F., VALLIN, J. (2002): Mortality in Europe: the divergence between east and west. Population-E, 57, 1, 157–198. <https://doi.org/10.3917/pope.201.0157>
27. MORGAN, S.P. (2003): Is low fertility a twenty-first-century demographic crisis? Demography, 40, 4, 589–603. <https://doi.org/10.1353/dem.2003.0037>
28. National Research Council (2011): Health in International Perspective: Shorter Lives, Poorer Health. In: Woolf S. H., Aron L. (eds): Panel on Understanding Cross-National Health Differences among High-Income Countries. Washington, DC.
29. PAMPEL, F.C. (2011): Divergent Patterns of Smoking across High-Income Nations. In: National Research Council (ed.): International Differences in Mortality at Older Ages: Dimensions and Sources. Washington, DC, 132–163.
30. PESCHNER, J., FOTAKIS, C. (2013): Growth potential of EU human resources and policy implications for future economic growth, European Commission (DG EMPL) Working Paper 3/2013, http://ec.europa.eu/social/main.jsp?catId=738&langId=en&pubId=7662&type=2&furtherPubs=no (2. 9. 2015).
31. PISON, G. (2008): Population trends in the United States and Europe: similarities and differences. Population & Societies, 446, 1–4.
32. POLESNÁ, H., KOCOURKOVÁ, J. (2016): Je druhý demografický přechod stále relevantní concept pro evropské státy? Geografie, 121, 3, 390–418.
33. PRB (Population Reference Bureau; 2012): Data finder. Demographics. International Topics, http://www.prb.org/DataFinder (4. 2. 2013).
34. PRB (Population Reference Bureau; 2015): Data finder. Demographics. International Topics, http://www.prb.org/DataFinder (4. 8. 2015).
35. PRESTON, S.H., GLEI, D.A., WILMOTH, J.R. (2011): Contribution of Smoking to International Differences in Life Expectancy. In: National Research Council (ed.): International Differences in Mortality at Older Ages: Dimensions and Sources. Washington, DC, 105–131.
36. PRSKAWETZ, A., LINDH, T., eds. (2007): The Relationship between Demographic Change and Economic Growth in the EU. Research Report 32. Institut für Demographie, Vienna Institute of Demography. http://www.oeaw.ac.at/vid/download/FB32.pdf (26. 7. 2015).
37. RINCON-AZNAR, A., FOSTER-MCGREGOR, N., PÖSCHL, J., STEHRER, R., VECCHI, M., VENTURINI, F. (2014): Reducing Productivity and Efficiency Gaps: the Role of Knowledge Assets, Absorptive Capacity and Institutions, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, Research Report 396, September 2014, http://wiiw.ac.at/reducing-productivityand-efficiency-gaps-the-role-of-knowledge-assets-absorptive-capacity-and-institutionscompetitiveness-report-2013--pj-26.html (3. 9. 2015).
38. RYCHTAŘÍKOVÁ, J. (2015): Délka života, zdraví a postoje v Evropské unii. Geografie, 120, 4, 542–563.
39. SHRESTHA, L.B., HEISLER, E.J. (2011): The Changing Demographic Profile of the United States. In: Congressional Research Service. Washington, DC, http://digitalcommons.ilr.cornell.edu/key_workplace/825/ (25. 7. 2015).
40. SOBOTKA, T. (2008): The diverse faces of the second demographic transition. In: Frejka, T.; Sobotka, T.; Hoem, J.M., Toulemon, L. (eds): Childbearing trends and policies in Europe. Demographic Research, 7, 19, 139–170.
41. Social Science Research Council (2017): Human Development Index, http://www.measureofamerica.org (23. 5. 2017).
42. STAETSKY, L. (2009): Diverging trends in female old-age mortality: A reappraisal. In: Demographic Research 33, 885–914. <https://doi.org/10.4054/DemRes.2009.21.30>
43. SUTTON, P., MATHEWS, T.J. (2004): Trends in characteristics of births by state: United States, 1990, 1995, and 2000–2002. National Vital Statistics Report 52, 9. National Vital Statistics System and Centers for Disease Control., US Dept. of Health and Human Services.
44. STEPTOE, A., WIKMAN, A. (2011): The Contribution of Physical Activity to Divergent Trends in Longevity. In: National Research Council (ed.): International Differences in Mortality at Older Ages: Dimensions and Sources. Washington, DC, 193–216.
45. STEWART, S.T., CUTLER, D.M., ROSEN, A.B. (2009): Forecasting the Effects of Obesity and Smoking on U.S. Life Expectancy. New England Journal of Medicine, 361, 23, 2252–2260. <https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMsa0900459>
46. U.S. National Center for Health Statistics (2017): National Vital Statistics Reports. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss.htm (21. 5. 2017).
47. United Nations (2015): World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, DVD Edition. United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/ (21. 5. 2017).
48. VAN ARK, B., CHEN, V., COLIJN, B., JAEGER, K., OVERMEER, W., TIMMER, M. (2013): Recent Changes in Europe’s Competitive Landscape – How the Sources of Demand and Supply Are Shaping Up. European Economy, Economic Papers, 485, April 2013, http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/publications/economic_paper/2013/pdf/ecp485_en.pdf (3. 9. 2015).
front cover

ISSN 1212-0014 (Print) ISSN 2571-421X (Online)

Archive